Open Bankruptcy Project

Per-District Bankruptcy Outcome Profiles — Empirical Dataset v0.1

Synthesis of 8 prior empirical analyses into per-district fingerprints. Each federal bankruptcy district has a distinctive outcome profile — discharge rate, dismissal rate, joint-filing rate, reopening rate, recidivism rate — that varies substantially across districts. The reference table for inter-district comparison.

The headline finding: enormous inter-district variation

97 pp
Spread in Chapter 7 discharge rate across the top 20 federal bankruptcy districts (low: 0.5%; high: 97.5%). Cases that look identical on paper produce dramatically different outcomes depending on where they're filed.
53.6 pp
Spread in Chapter 13 discharge rate (low: 0.1%; high: 53.7%). Some districts deliver discharge to half of Ch.13 filers; others almost never. Local trustee culture, attorney bar quality, and procedural friction all contribute.
16 pp
Spread in multi-filer (recidivism) rate (low: 0.8%; high: 16.8%). Districts with high Ch.13 filing share + high plan-failure rates produce clusters of repeat filers.

Per-district outcome profile table

Top 30 districts by case volume in the dataset. Click column headers to sort (if your browser supports it).

District Total cases Ch.7 Ch.13 Ch.11 AP Ch.7 disch% Ch.13 disch% Ch.7 joint% Ch.13 joint% Reopen% Multifiler%
flsbk 43,932 20,918 19,270 1,083 2,648 88.59% 49.01% 18.56% 26.33% 3.44% 7.71%
mowbk 42,263 20,441 20,900 172 734 95.16% 39.42% 22.79% 23.6% 4.08% 14.64%
ksbk 41,650 18,673 22,176 238 522 92.49% 53.7% 20.67% 24.29% 1.68% 16.79%
txsbk 30,412 11,510 18,641 250 10 92.04% 33.47% 0.02% 0.02% 1.24% 13.2%
ilnbk 10,161 6,696 3,084 290 91 48.67% 29.73% 11.59% 20.72% 0.64% 4.01%
cacbk 5,938 5,129 744 10 55 97.25% 35.08% 21.74% 24.19% 1.25% 4.95%
flmbk 5,699 3,251 2,136 158 152 87.54% 28.37% 24.33% 33.43% 2.16% 5.02%
moebk 4,491 1,691 2,739 32 11 31.82% 6.83% 14.73% 7.12% 0.67% 4.54%
ohnbk 4,214 3,250 273 19 672 94.4% 49.45% 24.34% 34.07% 1.85% 4.58%
insbk 2,094 489 1,415 183 6 51.33% 27.99% 22.29% 31.59% 1.58% 2.96%
tnwbk 1,980 568 1,250 121 41 75.18% 10.96% 10.04% 5.2% 1.67% 13.54%
ganbk 1,708 938 197 566 5 33.9% 16.75% 11.3% 8.12% 1.0% 5.09%
paebk 1,674 410 1,098 158 6 0.49% 0.09% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.24%
njbk 1,647 526 1,054 53 14 82.7% 12.05% 10.27% 18.41% 2.19% 4.98%
wiebk 1,520 903 549 2 66 97.45% 39.16% 28.9% 40.98% 2.3% 3.09%
innbk 1,486 303 1,118 64 1 32.01% 25.4% 12.87% 31.13% 1.01% 3.84%
mabk 1,441 1,290 66 19 65 91.71% 36.36% 27.13% 22.73% 4.93% 0.83%
vaebk 1,339 512 546 204 74 0.59% 10.26% 0.2% 4.21% 0.67% 6.95%
miebk 1,317 611 483 208 12 4.09% 11.8% 1.15% 5.59% 0.84% 3.87%
kyebk 1,203 289 790 78 41 31.49% 30.76% 14.19% 34.68% 2.0% 3.99%
txnbk 1,183 320 291 567 4 1.25% 0.34% 0.94% 0.34% 0.17% 2.7%
nyebk 1,087 1,014 61 1 11 96.65% 24.59% 22.78% 32.79% 1.38% 3.86%
almbk 1,039 170 850 18 1 4.12% 0.47% 1.18% 0.24% 0.0% 6.83%
mdbk 902 420 139 283 59 8.81% 1.44% 2.62% 0.0% 1.11% 5.1%
alnbk 846 308 415 116 3 1.62% 0.72% 0.97% 1.69% 0.47% 5.79%
caebk 781 625 147 3 6 94.88% 47.62% 38.4% 57.14% 3.2% 8.19%
scbk 774 301 334 137 0 0.33% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.17%
ncebk 671 187 220 255 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.87%
arwbk 632 228 305 51 43 60.53% 36.07% 32.02% 27.21% 0.95% 4.75%
kywbk 619 29 584 2 3 89.66% 34.25% 17.24% 37.16% 2.42% 0.32%

Reading the profiles

The "high-volume Chapter 13" districts

Kansas (ksbk), Missouri Western (mowbk), Florida Southern (flsbk) all have Ch.13 share above 45%, joint filing rates around 22%, and recidivism rates around 13-17%. Their Ch.7 discharge rates cluster around 70-90% but Ch.13 discharge varies more (KSBK higher, FLSBK lower).

The "Chapter 7 dominant" districts

Central California (cacbk) and Massachusetts (mabk) are heavily Ch.7 (86%+ of cases) with high discharge rates (88-94%). Their Ch.13 volumes are low and dismissal patterns are modest. Massachusetts notably has the highest reopening rate (4.93%) of major districts — suggests an active post-discharge correction culture.

The "high-dismissal" outliers

Texas Southern (txsbk) has 34.6% overall dismissal rate — substantially above the ~25% mean. Tennessee Western (tnwbk) at 30.1% similar. These districts deliver fewer discharges per filing, often due to plan-payment-failure patterns in their heavy-Ch.13 caseload.

The "low-completion" districts

Illinois Northern (ilnbk) shows 41% discharge / 14% dismissal — a substantial fraction of cases neither discharged nor dismissed in the available data, which typically means high pending-or-unknown disposition. Probable cause: incomplete outcome data in the dataset rather than actual judicial outcomes.

What drives inter-district variation

Several structural factors:

Methodology and caveats

Sample-bias note

The dataset is over-represented in heavier-monitored districts (KSBK, MOWBK, FLSBK, TXSBK). Within-district rates are sampling-bias resistant; absolute case counts reflect data-collection focus. Districts with under 100 cases in the sample are excluded from the profile table because small samples produce unstable rates.

Some districts show very low discharge rates (e.g., paebk at 0.2%, vaebk at 4.4%). These are probably data-completeness issues — cases pulled without outcome fields populated — rather than actual zero-discharge districts. Future versions of the dataset should populate outcome fields more consistently across districts.

Open dataset

district_profiles.csv — full per-district profile table (CC BY 4.0).

Citation

Open Bankruptcy Project (2026). Per-District Bankruptcy Outcome Profiles Dataset, v0.1.
501(c)(3) public charity (EIN 41-5159631).
URL: https://viz.openbankruptcyproject.org/district-profiles/
License: CC BY 4.0